Burning Man · 2026

Probability over time

How the chance of nice weather at Burning Man 2026 has evolved as the festival approaches. Snapshotted twice a day. The bold line is the overall festival average; thin lines are individual days.

Trend chart

Snapshot · 2026-09-13 · 84% overall

91 / 91

08-30

100%

27° · 0mm

08-31

100%

30° · 0mm

09-01

100%

27° · 0mm

09-02

71%

22° · 0mm

09-03

89%

22° · 2mm

09-04

36%

18° · 11.4mm

09-05

83%

21° · 0mm

09-06

92%

23° · 0.3mm

09-07

83%

21° · 0mm