Burning Man · 2026

Probability over time

How the chance of nice weather at Burning Man 2026 has evolved as the festival approaches. Snapshotted twice a day. The bold line is the overall festival average; thin lines are individual days.

Trend chart

Snapshot · 2026-07-30 · 100% overall

46 / 46

08-30

100%

30° · 0mm

08-31

100%

30° · 0mm

09-01

99%

29° · 0.5mm

09-02

100%

30° · 0.2mm

09-03

98%

30° · 1mm

09-04

100%

30° · 0mm

09-05

100%

30° · 0.1mm

09-06

100%

30° · 0mm

09-07

100%

31° · 0mm